Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 105.480545 119.742346 135.426636 153.988743 175.400144 199.373719 228.320077
2026-02-08 83.752214 102.150759 124.044181 152.145822 187.443319 230.550449 287.548189
2026-02-15 71.729124 92.174696 117.949635 153.088891 200.147889 261.556057 348.675543
2026-02-22 63.943207 85.711659 114.472325 155.672571 213.864306 294.143074 415.060465
2026-03-01 56.018729 77.745904 107.588054 152.141722 217.953974 313.140694 464.080054
2026-03-08 49.944650 71.462799 102.045484 149.410786 222.236564 332.152318 514.800051
2026-03-15 45.378721 66.748742 98.079314 148.259694 228.315804 354.019399 572.261981
2026-03-22 43.121192 65.150383 98.438367 153.535582 244.693308 393.559302 663.608101
2026-03-29 41.009234 63.512305 98.482308 158.165428 260.340552 433.503481 761.035979
2026-04-05 37.988683 60.126344 95.387157 157.221816 266.347379 457.537104 833.071073
2026-04-12 35.747302 57.774309 93.703652 158.391202 275.986485 488.840676 922.808228
2026-04-19 33.377649 54.987661 91.015473 157.475247 281.660276 513.380041 1002.644799
2026-04-26 31.318936 52.728722 89.320363 158.719730 292.557835 551.214222 1120.063047
2026-05-03 28.934593 49.712951 86.061504 156.825464 297.437540 578.429820 1221.048501
2026-05-10 27.228984 47.733641 84.443268 157.802005 308.016627 618.523096 1357.498533
2026-05-17 25.924728 46.351593 83.762274 160.473900 322.305503 668.303842 1525.391410
2026-05-24 23.948293 43.541571 80.127504 156.822788 322.824108 688.255337 1625.643866
2026-05-31 22.268859 41.148310 77.068073 153.999024 324.730124 711.492103 1738.383156
2026-06-07 20.932156 39.301954 74.907069 152.808858 330.073459 743.355820 1879.573666
2026-06-14 20.410476 39.008451 75.807777 158.264100 351.232541 815.966315 2145.230959
2026-06-21 19.846908 38.578992 76.382879 163.051878 371.449565 889.407021 2429.397645
2026-06-28 18.781004 37.034823 74.496822 162.076038 377.608758 928.036598 2620.459259
2026-07-05 17.992108 36.002188 73.603025 163.285366 389.334301 983.060001 2873.593695